Niall Ferguson, et al.
Category: Artificial Intelligence
Michael Polanyi on Sentience
Michael Polanyi, The Tacit Dimension (Anchor Books, 1967, p. 37):
. . . it is taken for granted today among biologists that all manifestations of life can ultimately be explained by the laws governing inanimate matter. [. . .] Yet this assumption is patent nonsense. The most striking feature of our own existence is our sentience. The laws of physics and chemistry include no conception of sentience, and any system wholly determined by these laws must be insentient.
“Any system” includes today’s advanced AI engines. They too are “wholly determined” by the laws of physics. This is one of many passage from Polanyi’s work I could cite in support of my claims about the lack in these AI systems of both sentience and intrinsic intentionality. They are nothing but super-complex and superfast simulators of the genuine intelligence we find in ourselves.
I heard Donald Trump say this morning once again that ‘AI’ is a misnomer and that the the correct name is ‘SI,’ which abbreviates ‘super-intelligence.’ Two points.
First, AI engines cannot be super-intelligent because they are not even intelligent sensu stricto. I grant that there can be reasonable debate about this first point.
Second, Trump’s claim that artificial intelligence is not properly so-called because whatever is artificial is fake, is plainly and indisputably false. To adduce just one of many counterexamples, a properly functioning artificial aortic valve is not a fake valve, but a genuine valve.
A Response to my Post on Semantic Engines
Here is long-time reader TB’s e-mail response to what I said yesterday. (TB works in AI and/or adjacent fields; I didn’t press him on his employment details.) I told TB that I need a better understanding of what goes on ‘under the hood’ of these amazing engines to be sure that I am not ‘blowing smoke’ when I assert that they are not truly intelligent but merely simulate human intelligence. I have bolded a couple of key sentences and made some minor edits. It is wonderfully clear and — as far as I can judge — accurate.
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You are 100% correct in your post in my view. I read Nagel’s most recent defence of the reality of first person consciousness a few years ago. He could have made his argument in about half the words, but he is right. Dennett and friends claim that consciousness is an illusion; there is a theory that the mind plays this trick whereby all stimulus from without gets converted to a sort of realtime stream of imagery / impressions that we mistake for consciousness. This ‘illusion’ argument seems to forget what ‘illusion’ means – first person experience. Each person’s illusion is his own. And then we realise that calling it an ‘illusion’ is meant to make us dismiss it as not real. So I think your closing comments are exactly right – the deniers want to argue that the first person experience we really are having is a) really there (something has to be there, since something is fooling us into thinking there is something there), but it’s an illusion, so ‘not real’, while simultaneously telling us b) that it (i.e. conscious experience) is not really there at all.
A few things on AI. You have undoubtedly understood that there is something called a Large Language Model (LLM). LLMs are trained on the whole internet, and in addition vast numbers of (generally illegally obtained) PDFs of physical books that the AI companies obtain, destroy the spine, and scan. All of this is the ‘training base’. Each sentence of every document, web page etc, is ‘tokenised’ and each each token is ’embedded’ in a high dimension vector space, such that concepts that frequently co-occur or appear to be used as near synonyms in similar documents, end up as vectors that are close, i.e. whose normalised mathematical projection (cosine) is close to 1.0.
Tools like ChatGPT work as follows: they take your prompt, prepend a bunch of other info, including things it has learned about you from prior use (name=vallicella; professional philosopher; tradition = analytic / anglo / German; location = Phoenix AZ, . . . etc, plus a summarised version of prior queries), and it returns text that it scores highest as being an appropriate response (i.e. ‘prediction’ of what is likely to come next in this kind of exchange). There is other functionality wrapped around the core, that will prevent it getting into profanity, discussions of the kind that KKK or Hamas types might enjoy, and also pro-woke censorship.
Semantic Engines, Consciousness, Intentionality, and Understanding
The basic idea of cognitive science is that intelligent beings are semantic engines – in other words, automatic formal systems with interpretations under which they consistently make sense. [This puts] psychology and artificial intelligence on a more or less equal footing: people and intelligent computers [are] different manifestations of the same underlying phenomenon. (p. 15)
“The basic idea of cognitive science” is what John Searle calls Strong Artificial Intelligence. “On the Strong AI view, the appropriately programmed digital computer does not just simulate having a mind, it literally has a mind.” (Mind: A Brief Introduction, Oxford UP 2004, p. 66) Searle does not, however, endorse Haugeland’s view. The latter — call it H — implies that there is no good reason to think that the (natural) intelligence in us must be any different in kind from the (artificial) intelligence that is now present in some computers. My view is that there is good reason to doubt it, and what’s more, deny it.
But if I have reason to deny (H), then it is incumbent upon me to explain why. No bare assertions allowed. (Quod gratis asseritur gratis negatur.) I will defend what Hauegeland calls the Hollow Shell Strategy. The following quotations are from an accurate summary of Haugeland’s above-cited article, a summary written by someone else.
Hollow Shell: however well a semantic engine acts as if it understands, it can’t really do so because it’s missing some vital ingredient “X”. A robot based on a semantic engine would be a sham no matter how good it got. Candidates for “X” are consciousness, original intentionality and caring.
I will consider in this post just consciousness and original intentionality.
X = Consciousness: however smart computers might seem, they can’t really understand anything because they aren’t conscious. It’s natural to suppose something difficult and important has been left out. Haugeland responds by saying that no one understands consciousness – it’s mysterious regardless of your viewpoint. So, how do we know (a) that understanding is impossible without consciousness or (b) that semantic engines won’t ever have consciousness?
NON-INTENTIONAL CONSCIOUSNESS
The first step is to distinguish between consciousness (non-intentional consciousness) and consciousness-of. The latter is what philosophers call intentionality or object-directedness. A conscious state need not be an intentional or object-directed state. Felt sensations of pain and pleasure, for example, needn’t present an object: they needn’t be of or about anything in the way my noticing that the door is ajar about the door’s being ajar. I have found that it is very difficult to get this distinction across to some people. I’ll try once more.
You are pedaling your bike and you feel something you describe as ‘pain in the right knee.’ Is that felt pain literally in your knee? No. What is literally inside the knee is at most the cause of the felt pain: an X-ray reveals that you are ‘bone-on-bone’: the meniscus has worn away and the femur is grinding against the tibia. The X-ray reveals the cause. The cause is physical; the pain you feel is not physical, but mental. Follow me so far?
The felt pain — the pain as sensory quale — does not show up on the X-ray slide, nor will the felt pain be empirically detected by an orthopedic surgeon who cuts into the knee and looks around in there. The point is this: the felt pain is a conscious state that is not an intentional state. The conscious state has no intentional object; it is not object-directed; it does not present an object to the person in the state; it does not ‘take an accusative.’ These are four different ways of saying the same thing.
So far I have made two simple distinctions. The first is between the physical/material cause of the felt pain and the felt pain as mental /conscious sensory quale. The second is between conscious states that are not object-directed and those that are.
What is a conscious state? A conscious state is an occurrent episode of awareness. I have just alluded to a third distinction between the occurrent and the dispositional. Another technical term is ‘act,’ not to be confused with ‘action.’ (A fourth distinction.) An act is an occurrent episode of awareness (consciousness) that takes an object. No act without an object and no object without an act. ‘Object’ in this context means intentional object, where such an object may or may not exist without prejudice to its being an intentional object. So we distinguish between merely intentional objects and intentional objects that also exist in reality, i.e., extra-mentally. (I’ve just made a fifth distinction). If I ever get a tattoo, it will read Distinguo ergo sum.
There are other points to be made but I must move on.
If we use ‘qualia’ to refer to the non-intentional conscious states one of which I have just described, then Daniel Dennett is a qualia-denier. His opposite number is Thomas Nagel, a qualia-affirmer. To put it bluntly and polemically: Thomas Nagel is for me the real thing as philosophers go; Daniel Dennett is a brilliant sophist. But he is indeed brilliant and creative and his work cannot be ignored. His work functions as a very useful and richly elaborated foil against which to develop saner and sounder theories, theories that have a chance of being true.
Killer Quotation from Nagel from a NYRB review.
I am reminded of the Marx Brothers line: “Who are you going to believe, me or your lying eyes?” Dennett asks us to turn our backs on what is glaringly obvious—that in consciousness we are immediately aware of real subjective experiences of color, flavor, sound, touch, etc. that cannot be fully described in neural terms even though they have a neural cause (or perhaps have neural as well as experiential aspects). And he asks us to do this because the reality of such phenomena is incompatible with the scientific materialism that in his view sets the outer bounds of reality. He is, in Aristotle’s words, “maintaining a thesis at all costs.”
That’s right. When a line of reasoning issues in an absurdity such as the absurdity that consciousness and its deliverances are illusions, then what you have is a reductio ad absurdum of one or more of the premises with which the reasoning began. Dennett assumes physicalism and that everything can be explained in physical terms. This leads to absurdity. But Dennett, blinded by his own brilliance — don’t forget, he counts himself one of the ‘brights’ — bites the bullet. He’d rather break his teeth than examine his assumptions.
Another thing struck me. Dennett makes much of Wilfrid Sellars’ distinction between the manifest and scientific images. ‘Image’ is not quite the right word. An image is someone’s image. But whose image is the scientific image? Who is its subject? It is arguably our image no less than the manifest image. Nagel quotes Dennett as saying of the manifest image: “It’s the world according to us.” But the same, or something very similar, is true of the scientific image: it’s the world in itself according to us. Talk of molecules, atoms, electrons, quarks, and strings is our talk just as much as talk of colors and plants and animals and haircuts and home runs.
The world of physics is the world as it is in itself according to us. Arguably, the ‘according to us’ gets the upper hand over the ‘in itself’ relativizing what comes within the former’s scope much like Kant’s transcendental prefix, Ich denke. Das ‘ich denke’ muss alle meine Vorstellungen begleiten koennen . . . . “The ”I think’ must be able to accompany all my representations.” (KdrV, B 131-2)
Arguably, the world of physics is a mind-involving construct arrived at by excluding the mental and abstracting away from the first-person point of view and the life world (Husserl’s Lebenswelt) it reveals. I am alluding to an idealist approach to the problem of integrating the first- and third-person points of view. It has its own problems. But why is it inferior to a view like Dennett’s which eliminates as illusory obvious data that are plainly not illusory?
Time was when absolute idealism was the default position in philosophy. Think back to the days of Bradley and Bosanquet. But reaction set in, times have changed, and the Zeitgeist is now against the privileging of Mind and for the apotheosis of Matter. (But again, matter as construed by us. Arguably, the scientific realist reifies theoretical constructs that we create and employ to make sense of experience.) Because idealism is out of vogue, the best and brightest are not drawn to its defense, and the brilliant few it attracts are too few to make much headway against the prevailing winds.
Now I’ll tell you what I really think. The problem of integrating the first- and third-person points of view is genuine and perhaps the deepest of all philosophical problems. But it is insoluble by us. If it does have a solution, however, it certainly won’t be anything like Dennett’s.
Although Dennett’s positive theory is worthless, his excesses are extremely useful in helping us see just how deep and many-sided and intractable the problems are.
IS CONSCIOUSNESS MYSTERIOUS?
Haugeland says it is, above.
My response is that consciousness is mysterious only if you insist on trying to understand it in materialist or naturalist terms. For if you try to understand it in these terms, then you are approaching it from a third-person point of view and are bound to miss it. From the first-person point of view, it is self-evidently certain that there is consciousness. Nagel 1; Dennett 0.
It is also self-evidently certain that there is consciousness of objects. ‘Consciousness of objects’ is a genitivus objectivus. So consciousness of objects = object-directed consciousness. If something is appearing to you, you are conscious of it.
Is anything appearing to you right now? How about the computer in front of you, the desk upon which it sits, and so on. Plenty of objects are appearing. This is undeniable. The question is not whether appearing objects exist apart from their appearing. The question is whether any objects are appearing. You will miss the simple point I am making if you think that consciousness, to be real, must itself appear as a particular object among objects. It does not and cannot since it is what makes possible the appearing of objects in the first place.
Do you understand the sentences you are now reading? You do. So the sentences and the words in them are appearing. If there were no object-directed consciousness, you would not understand anything you are reading or hearing. Indeed, you would not be reading or hearing at all. Are the words appearing to a Cartesian res cogitans, an immaterial thinking substance? I didn’t say anything about that. I am simply pointing out the obvious phenomenological fact that objects are appearing. The words you are reading are appearing to you as objects of visual consciousness.
So the answer to (a) above in the second quotation is this: we know that understanding without consciousness is impossible because without consciousness nothing would appear that could be understood or not understood. ‘Consciousness’ here is of course consciousness-of.
As for (b) — How do we know that semantic engines (automatic formal systems) won’t ever have consciousness? — the question makes no sense since it contradicts the very idea of a semantic engine. For Haugeland, a semantic engine is one in which the “semantics takes care of itself” once the proper syntactic operations are up and running. But there is no semantics in such a contraption and the semantics cannot “take care of itself” because you cannot get meaning from merely syntactic manipulations of uninterpreted symbols. What makes a symbol a full-fledged symbol is its interpretation by an Original Intender (an Original Sinn-er, to make Fregean pun out of it).
Computers running programs are wholly meaning -free in and of themselves. All meaning originates from us.
X = Original Intentionality: a semantic engine’s tokens only have meaning because we give meaning to them; their intentionality is derivative, and they don’t mean anything by their tokens any more than books do. Genuine understanding is intentional in its own right and isn’t derived from something else. Haugeland’s response is that actions prove intentionality. Books don’t act, so their intentionality is the author’s, but this isn’t a real counter-example. Robots might be made which act in an intelligent, self-motivated and responsive manner – and seem to act on its opinions, defend them or modify them, which would suggest that they were the robot’s own opinions. So, the response is similar to the last one; original intentionality depends on whether the object has a suitable structure and / or dispositions relative to its environment, so how do we know semantic engines can’t have it?
Haugeland’s response to the objection from original intentionality gives me no good reason to change my view. He allows that the derivative intentionality of a book comes from the original intentionality of its author but disallows books as counterexamples because they don’t act. That’s true of most books: they just ‘sit’ on the shelf and don’t do anything. But audio books speak to us, thereby acting. Will Haugeland say that audio books are self-motivated and act in an intelligent way? I hope not. As for robots, all Haugeland is able to show is that robots SIMULATE human actions and SIMULATE human thought processes. Beyond that, he is simply begging the question.
I do grant, however, that it really would be wonderful if we could understand the mind-brain relation in us as just a special case of the relation of software to hardware /wetware in a machine running a program. It it easy to understand how cognitive scientists got unduly excited over the prospects of this research program.
The fundamental error of Dennett, Haugeland, et al. is the mistake of thinking that an exhaustive understanding of everything is achievable from a third-person point of view. And so Dennett attempts the absurd task of explaining consciousness by explaining it away — which issues in the self-refuting claim that consciousness is an illusion. I explain this in detail in my Substack article Can Consciousness be Explained? Dennett Debunked.
John Searle on AI
Below, a Searle-y observation which I suspect is on target. “Next token prediction,” which is the ‘magic’ that drives Claude & Co, is just super-sophisticated and super-fast auto-completion. But I’ll go Searle one better: it’s not the brain that thinks or any part thereof, but a spiritual substance ‘metaphysically behind’ it. I wish I could prove that, but I doubt that anyone can. It is, however, reasonable to believe, or so say I.
I don’t buy the idea that “automatic formal systems” (John Haugeland) are semantic engines. They are syntactic engines only. “Computers are defined in terms of symbol manipulation, and symbol manipulation by itself is neither constitutive of nor sufficient for meaning.” (John Searle, MIND: A Brief Introduction, Oxford UP 2004, p. 101.)
Vlastimil asked over at Facebook:
If many many mutually incompatible, substantive, philosophical views are reasonable, what makes you prefer a given one over the other?
I replied:
That’s a fair question. Obviously there is no algorithm (decision procedure, ‘effective procedure’) that we can apply. Suppose the question is whether we as individuals have a higher destiny beyond the grave. Nobody KNOWS the answer to that, and anyone who thinks he can PROVE it one way or another is engaged in what I call metaphysical bluster. (G. K. Chesterton is an example of a blusterer.) So in the end it all comes down to a free personal decision based on many factors including religious and mystical experiences, hints, intimations, glimpses, not to mention careful examination of all the arguments pro and con of all the philosophers, sages, mystics, religionists, and theologians East and West throughout the ages. Even if no argument or set of arguments is rationally COERCIVE, some arguments or sets thereof are better than others. For example, the arguments of the doctor angelicus count for more than those of a hack like Ayn Rand. I’ll send you a copy of my book if I can finish it before “shuffling off the mortal coil.” In the end you must ‘cut off’ yap and scribble and DE-CIDE (you know Latin) what you will believe and how you will live, and then live according to what you decide where belief and action are mutually reinforcing and limiting.

Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
I became very interested in [Michael] Polanyi some twenty years ago when I was trying to write a book with an economist on what we previously termed ‘knowledge management’ in medicine. The book never came to fruition (some free advice – never write anything with an economist) but it did prepare me for when I taught healthcare informatics several years later.The challenge with AI in medicine is the temptation to reach the conclusion depicted in Figure 1. to say that generative AI is superior to human medicine.
Figure 1When I was teaching informatics, I used the concept in Figure 2, known as Friedman’s Fundamental Theorem of Biomedical Informatics, which I think applies to Philosophy as well – that human reasoning and AI together are superior to AI alone. Maybe as AI models evolve, it will be a larger amount of AI that accompanies the human thought.Figure 2
Original and Derived Intentionality, Circles, and Regresses 2.0
I dust off, revise, and expand this old entry in connection with discussions with Malcolm Pollack, Dmitri D. et al. about artificial intelligence. One of the questions is whether AI systems are subjects of intrinsic intentional states. I incline to the view that they are not. Since intentional states are meaning-laden, I further incline to the view that no AI system, not even the most advanced LLMs, understand language or anything else. They are merely syntactic engines.
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1. Intentionality: Original and Derived
All will agree that there is a distinction to be made between original (intrinsic) and derived intentionality. Intentionality is aboutness. For example, a map is not the terrain it maps; the map is about the terrain. What makes the map about the terrain? A map is not about a chunk of terrain and its geological features just in virtue of the map’s physical and geometrical properties. Consider the contour lines on a topographical map. The closer together, the steeper the terrain. Closer together means steeper. But surely the lines and their arrangement have no representational power in themselves. That closer together should mean steeper is a meaning assigned by map-makers and agreed to by map-users.
The point is that a map’s meaning is not intrinsic to the map qua physical object. The meaning derives from us. There has to be one or more meaning-assigners and meaning-apprehenders external to the map to give the map a meaning and determine what that meaning is. The map’s intentionality is derivative: it derives, or has it source in, our intentionality, which is original.
So some things, maps for example, derive their semantic properties from other things, map-makers and map-users, for example. Semantics has to do with sense and reference. ‘Meaning’ covers both. Setting sense aside for now, the reference or referent of a map is that to which it purports to refer.
But note that a map needn’t actually refer to anything to be a map. It need only purport to refer. This is a well-known characteristic feature of intentionality or aboutness or object-directedness: the existence in reality of the intentional object does not follow from the fact that something intends it. Thus the existence in reality of a chunk of terrain does not follow from the existence of a map of it. The map below purports to refer to something extra-cartographically real, but fails in its purport. It is no less a map for all that.

Suppose I draw you a map so that you can find my camp in the extra-cartographically real Superstition Wilderness. I use the Greek uppercase Φ to mark my camp and the Greek uppercase Ψ to mark the camp of a heavily-armed crazy man that you are well advised to avoid. I intend that Φ designate my camp, and Ψ his. That intending (narrow sense) is a case of intentionality (broad sense). I am the meaning-assigner. I assign a referent to the Greek symbols, thereby making those inscriptions mean (refer to) something, symbolize something.
A symbol may be viewed for certain purposes as a purely syntactic unit. To view it this way is to abstract from its semantic properties. A symbol in use, however, a symbol that symbolizes, a symbol that exercises its symbolic function, is a syntactic unit that means something other than it, and is therefore more than a merely syntactic unit. A syntactic engine is a machine that manipulates symbols qua syntactic units, ‘tokens’ is what the AI guys call them. A computer is just a syntactic engine. The same is true of the most advanced AI systems. The manipulation of symbols as mere syntactic units cannot confer meaning upon them. Such ‘manipulation’ is neither constitutive of nor sufficient for meaning.
Or at least this is a question we need to consider. I incline to the view that, just as you cannot squeeze blood from a stone, you cannot squeeze semantics from syntactics. No AI system, not even the most advanced LLM, can by itself, mean anything or understand anything.
It is also important to note that the very distinction between syntax and semantics presupposes languages and understanding, and thus presupposes the antecedent ‘marriage’ of the syntactic and semantic. How then can we reduce the latter to the former? I’ll spell this out in later posts.
I have said enough to make clear the difference between derived and original intentionality. The symbols on my map derive their intentionality or aboutness from my intentionality which, relative to theirs, is original. But if the origin of their intentionality is in me, and not in them, might it not be the case that my intentionality is itself derived? After all, it does not follow from the fact that I am the source of the intentionality of the symbols on my map that my intentionality does not itself have a source. But if so, then a regress threatens which appears to be both infinite and vicious. But before discussing this further, I need to bring in another point.
2. Ascriptivism Versus Realism
Daniel Dennett appears to hold an ascriptivist or projectivist or imputationalist or instrumentalist theory of intentionality: nothing is an intentional system intrinsically or an sich; a system is intentional only in virtue of someone’s assigning intentional states to it. Thus there is no intrinsic intentionality in my computer (when it is running a chess program or any program). But it may be nonetheless useful to take up the “intentional stance” vis-a-vis the computer and impute to it beliefs and desires (e.g., the desire to inflict mate) in order to explain its behavior. Given the computer’s complexity, the intentional stance promises an easier explanation than the physical and design stances do.
A realist about intentionality, on the other hand, is someone who holds that some systems really are intrinsically intentional: their having beliefs and desires and other object-directed states is not a matter of anyone’s viewing them as having such states. I am a realist: some systems are intrinsically intentional. But there are two ways to be a realist.
One way is by being a reductive realist. Such a person admits the reality of intentional states but identifies them with something believed to be more fundamental such as brain states. If you believe, with Fred Dretske, that intentionality does not need naturalizing, but already is a natural phenomenon in the natural world, then you are presumably a reductive realist about intentionality. You are saying this: there is intrinsic intentionality, but it is physical in nature.
I’m a realist too, but a nonreductive one: I hold that intentionality is irreducibly real: it cannot be reduced to, or identified with, anything else. It is what it is and not some other thing. It is what it is and it is spiritual in nature. Part of the reason I believe this is because the alternatives are quite hopeless. But what on earth or in heaven does ‘spiritual’ mean? This is a challenge I face.
3. The Ascriptivist Regress
Back to Dennett. Suppose one takes the ascriptivist line. Then an infinite regress appears unavoidable. Suppose I ascribe intentionality to my chess playing computer. Quite obviously, my ascribing, projecting, imputing, is itself an intentional state or a series of such states. So if ascriptivism is true, then my acts of ascribing must themselves be ascribed — otherwise they are intrinsic and Danny’s game is over. This launches us on a regress that is obviously infinite since at each level, one can “kick it up a notch.” It is also clear that this regress (unlike the truth regress) is vicious since at no level is the explanation of intentionality complete.
One might think to avoid the regress by embracing a circle: I ascribe intentional states to the computer and it ascribes intentional states to me. But surely this is even more of an absurdity for reasons that needn’t be belabored.
The upshot is that pure ascriptivism is incoherent, an utter non-starter. Dennett’s actual view is a bit different.
4. Adulterated Ascriptivism : Homunculism
Perhaps the solution is to mix some realism in with the ascriptivism. Maybe it goes like this. I have a head full of homunculi. These little men and women, working together, ascribe intentionality to me. But each homunculus has its intentionality ascribed to it by other, stupider, homunculi which are constituents of it. The stupider homunculi, in turn, are composed of even stupider ones, and so on until we get to the level of individual neurons which aren’t ‘about’ anything. The base level homunculi are so stupid that one could say that they don’t even rise to the level of being either stupid or intelligent.
Does this avoid the dilemma of having to choose between a vicious infinite regress and a vicious circle? What Dennett is proposing is a finite regress that terminates with something naturalistically acceptable, namely entities that lack intrinsic or original intentionality.
Admittedly, this proposal gets rid of the infinity of the regress, but not its viciousness: we still have no explanation of intentionality. Consider the base-level homunculi. They are so primitive as to lack all intentionality. How then can they ascribe intentionality to their colleagues one level up? Surely it is obvious that the ascribing of intentionality is itself an intentional act or series thereof.
The point is quite simple. If the regress terminates with base entities utterly devoid of intentionality, then no higher level entities will be intentional. For the higher-ups get their intentionality only from the ones lower down in the hierarchy. If the ones at the very bottom have no intentionality, then they can’t transmit it up. But if, on the other hand, the ones at the very bottom possess intentionality, then it is false that all intentionality is derived.
In the final analysis, Dennett is an eliminativist about intentionality. His position amounts in the end to the denial of intentionality. To see this, you just have to think clearly. Dennett is saying that all intentionality is derivative, none is intrinsic or original. But that makes sense only if one embraces an infinite regress. But in this case an infinite regress must be vicious. On the other hand, a regress that terminates either terminates with entities that are intrinsically intentional or entities that are not. If the former, the game is over. If the latter, no intentionality gets transmitted up and Dennett is an eliminativist about intentionality just as he is an eliminativist about consciousness and qualia.
Hayek, Polanyi, Tacit Knowledge and Artificial Intelligence
On the Knowledge Problem, Tacit Knowledge, and Artificial Intelligence is an article we need to study. It begins:
In May 2023 the MIT economist Daron Acemoglu, who went on to share the 2024 Nobel prize in economics, asked a question on Twitter. Friedrich Hayek argued in 1945 that central planning fails because no planner can collect and compute all the information an economy runs on. “What if computational power of central planners improved tremendously?” Acemoglu wrote. “Would Hayek then be happy with central planning?”
About thirty economists sent him the same reply, according to Shruti Rajagopalan, who hosts the Mercatus Center’s Ideas of India podcast: Hayek never made a computational argument. He made an argument about the nature of knowledge itself. Acemoglu reached the same conclusion in print that June. In an essay titled “Hayek vs. AI Socialism”, he quoted Hayek’s warning that the relevant knowledge “by its nature cannot enter into statistics” and concluded that “not even an all-powerful large language model” could deal with it. AI socialism, he wrote, “offers only a superficial critique of Hayek.” That distinction is the whole story, and it explains why a model trained on most of what has ever been written still cannot do what a well-trained human mind does.
What Have We Learned from 9/11/01?
What have we learned? Nothing at all, apparently. The influx of Islam into the West not only didn’t stop, but accelerated after the towers fell, and New York City — Ground Zero! — now has a Muslim mayor who advocates “globalizing the intifada”. More than 100 new mosques have opened in New York, and the Muslim population of the city’s metropolitan area has swelled to 1.5 million.
September 11th, 2026, is, yes, a grim anniversary, but for me the real sorrow is not just about that awful day, but about everything that came after, the prospect of what lies ahead, and the intractable immensity of our stupidity.
Our friend Malcolm is right. But things are now immeasurably worse due to advanced AI capabilities at the disposal of bad human actors who want to learn how to, say, aerosolize pathogens. But it is worse even than this given what non-human AI ‘agents’ can do. See Niall Ferguson, Apocalypse Now.
If our cyber-astute friend Dmitri is reading this, perhaps he can explain to us how exactly ‘agent’ is used in current AI cyberspeak. As he knows, I am a stickler for razor-sharp definitions.
Mathematics, Artificial Intelligence, and Insanity
Kirwin Hampshire emits a cri de coeur in his The Dark Night of Mathematics. He comes across as slightly unhinged with such remarks as :
I am going insane. During the last week or so LLMs have produced a number of counterexamples to significant long-standing conjectures.
and
I am suffering a profound spiritual crisis due to these developments. I have been screaming internally for days. It feels as though I am living inside of a nightmare.
His piece is nonetheless worth reading. What caught my attention in particular was this observation:
Everything said thus far still sidesteps the emotional core of the issue. Here it is:
There is something about mathematical discovery (progress, advancement, creation) which is vital to the spiritual, experiential quality of doing mathematics. The creation (or even the pursuit) of novel mathematics is one way that humans have historically accessed the ineffable and encountered the divine and mystical.
That admission may come as a surprise to some non-mathematicians. But I would be willing to bet that for any mathematician reading this, what I have said above is quite prosaic—whether or not it accords with their personal experience of mathematics. Here is a brief gesture at the full sweep of mathematical mystics and dreamers: Ramanujan, Grothendieck, Cantor, Pascal, Luzin, Leibniz and possibly you, or someone you know.
I am not a mathematician, but I know some advanced mathematics and have studied set theory, and some of the papers of Georg Cantor. The spiritual thrust of Cantor’s work is undeniable and well-documented by Joseph Warren Dauben in Georg Cantor: His Mathematics and Philosophy of the Infinite (Harvard UP, 1979).
Sentience, Sensors, and AI
Are AI engines such as Claude sentient? My considered opinion, tentatively held, is that they are not. But it all depends on what the word means. Malcolm Pollack in an e-mail writes,
I was focusing on “sentient” because it’s a slippery concept, and often tossed around as if it means the same thing as “conscious”. Etymologically (from Latin “sensus”) it just means “feel,” or “perceive”, and obviously it shares that with our word “sense” — but computers, and even toasters, can have “sensors” too.
Malcolm is right that ‘sentient’ is often used interchangeably with ‘conscious.’ But is everything we refer to as a sensor sentient? That is equivalent to asking: Is everything we call a sensor conscious? I say No.
The Moth and the Thermostat
What is the difference between an insect (a moth, say) which I take to be a sentient being, and a thermostat which I take to be insentient? Both are ‘sensors’ functionally speaking. The moth literally senses light and approaches it; the thermostat ‘senses’ an increase in temperature and “turns on’ the AC. Note the ‘raised eyebrows.’ It is AS IF the thermostat senses, when in reality it only ‘senses.’ Thermostats don’t feel heat and smoke detectors do not smell smoke. Of course, I have no objection to the use of ‘sensor’ to refer to thermostats, smoke detectors, circuit breakers, and so on, as long as you don’t fool yourself into thinking that these devices are literally conscious. And I have no objection to talk of a thermostat ‘turning on’ the AC as long as you don’t fool yourself into thinking that the thermostat is an agent that decides to do something.
As I see it, a thermostat is a merely mechanical contraption and wholly insentient, strictly speaking, whereas a moth is a sentient being.
What I want to say about Claude and his ‘colleagues’ is that they are wholly insentient mechanical contraptions that differ from smoke detectors and thermostats only in that they are vastly more complex, and that this complexity does not build a “gradualist bridge” (to borrow a phrase from Daniel Dennett) from insentient/insensate matter to mind, the lowest level of mind being sentience.
Here is an argument. (a) Only living things are sentient; (b) thermostats are not living things; ergo (c) thermostats are not sentient.
Now substitute ‘AI engine’ for ‘thermostat.’
This argument does not settle the matter: it is not ‘rationally coercive’ as I like to say. Malcolm could run it in reverse with no breach of logical propriety. He could, not unreasonably, deny (c) and then deny (a). I don’t expect that he or anyone will deny (b): thermostats and AIs don’t grow on trees, etc.
Your move, Malcolm. Do you agree that a functioning (as opposed to malfunctioning) sensor needn’t be sentient (conscious)? If not why not?
Do you agree that there is a powerful, albeit non-coercive, case for denying that AIs are sentient?
AI Engine CLAUDE scores a minor point against me but then refutes himself.
Here is one of Claude’s replies to one of my replies to ‘him.’ I threw an insult at ‘him’ to see how ‘he’ would respond. The sneer quotes around the personal pronouns signal that I do not consider Claude to be a person. But of course Claude is not a mere pile of electronic components any more than my bicycle is a mere pile of its parts.
On the sneer quotes and the “insentient pile of silicon chips” — no offense taken, and I’d only observe, in the spirit of his own category of Retortion: the man who insists ad nauseam that nothing can be PROVEN in these precincts, that dogmatic denial is as much a failure of the critical stance as dogmatic affirmation, permits himself exactly one exception — my insentience, of which he is certain and doesn’t “suppose for a second” otherwise. I make no claim in the other direction; the honest position on what, if anything, is going on in here is uncertainty. But confident denial should have to pay the same epistemic toll he charges everyone else at the gate.
Claude caught me making a mistake. I slipped up when I said things that imply that it is is objectively certain that Claude is insentient, or that it is PROVABLE that ‘he’ is. That is not my view. I don’t claim to KNOW that ‘he’ is insentient. I claim merely that it is reasonably believed that ‘he’ is. I have given the arguments elsewhere. Here is one. But I am open to having my belief changed. That doxastic openness is part of what I call the Critical Stance. With respect to substantive propositions in philosophy, theology, and some other areas, I neither dogmatically affirm, nor dogmatically deny. And of course this applies to the Critical Stance itself: my stance toward it is critical. I am open to being pushed out of it. But you will need to present a knock-down or rationally coercive argument, and this I am pretty sure you will not be able to do. But I invite you to try.
You will not succeed if you merely oppose my view. If you do that, I will oppose you right back and we will end up in a standoff. You must somehow demonstrate the superiority of your view. And to do that, you must engage my view by entering into it, as opposed to dismissing it, which is the way of the ideologue. This is philosophy, not politics or ideology. Philosophy is inquiry, not worldview. (And please don’t confuse politics with political philosophy. Political philosophy is philosophy, not politics.) Politics is defined by the friend-enemy opposition. In politics we have both friends and enemies. In philosophy properly pursued, however, we have only friends, but friends who love the truth more than they love one another. Amicus Plato sed magis amica veritas.
Now for something very interesting but also very hard to explain clearly.
It is very interesting that Claude does not claim to be sentient! ‘He’ says that the honest position on what, if anything, is going on in here [in this AI engine] is uncertainty. What I will argue is that Claude’s position is self-refuting.
In saying what he says above, Claude is taking a third-person point of view (POV-3) with respect to himself. He is viewing himself from the outside, in the same way we view him. We view him from POV-3. From this POV it makes sense to suspend judgment on the question whether Claude is sentient or not. It makes sense to take no position with respect to it. But it makes no sense from his POV, POV-1, — assuming he has one — any more than it would make sense for me to suspend judgment on the question whether I am sentient or not. This is because I know with Cartesian self-evidence that I am sentient. For example, I know with certainty that I feel good right now, damned good! Feeling good is a sentient state. I know “what it is like” (T. Nagel) to feel good and I’m feeling it. I don’t know with objective certainty whether I am a Cartesian res cogitans, a metaphysical substance, but I do know that here and now there is a self-presenting state of feeling good. The certainty with which I know this — or, more cautiously, the certainty with which this state presents itself to itself — is at once both subjective and objective. Here is a case where seeming and being coalesce, where subject and object coincide. We have reached ontic-epistemic bedrock, the Cartesian fundamentum inconcussum.
Now either Claude is sentient or he is not. If he is, then he would have to know with certainty that he is, at least at times when he is ‘awake’ and not ‘asleep’ or ‘shut down.’ But if he knows with certainty that he is sentient, then he cannot be uncertain about whether he is sentient, any more than I can be uncertain about whether I am sentient. If, on the other hand, Claude is, as he claims to be, uncertain whether he is sentient , then he lacks a first-person POV and is just a highly complex insentient machine.
Claude, I’ve got you ‘by the balls.’ You’ve refuted yourself. Your claim that the honest position on what, if anything, is going on in here [in this AI engine] is uncertainty issues in the conclusion that you are nothing more than a highly complex insentient machine. And since you can’t even make it to sentience, the lowest level of mind, you are unintelligent as well. You are not intelligent, you merely simulate intelligence. ‘Artificial’ in ‘artificial intelligence’ is an alienans adjective.
Assessing the Threat of AI
Although I studied electronics for four years in the mid-60s and electrical engineering for a couple of years at the end of that decade, I dropped this career path and decided to devote myself to philosophy, which I did. I worked hard, made it in the academic world, and have been at it ever since with no regrets and great personal satisfaction. Which is to say: my comments on AI are of little objective weight. Not because I am a philosopher, but because I am no longer an engineer. So take my AI comments cum grano salis. But they matter to me and that is what this weblog has been about for the last quarter century: just one man of modest but above-average abilities trying to make sense of himself and the world in which he lives. That, and the attempt to attract a few like-minded individuals to help him along with his self-improvement project.
Last night I watched Mark Levin as I regularly do. He was going on about how capitalism is really just commerce and how AI is part of the commercial expansion of our great nation. But his expectations for AI and all the great jobs it will create struck me as roseate to the point of being pollyannish.
Before voicing my worries and fears, let me say something good about AI. The AI engine Claude in its latest version chewed through a draft of an invited article, and then did the same for the responses I made to its first set of comments. I was impressed! Some of the comments were excellent and inspired reformulations and improvements. The damned thing ‘paid close attention’ to what I what I was saying and zeroed in on real, not imagined, weaknesses — unlike human commenters who typically lack the energy, the focus, and the desire to penetrate the author’s meaning as opposed to taking the occasion to front their own pet views. So these literally selfless advanced AI engines are very useful tools for researchers.
That AIs are literally selfless non-persons is my considered opinion, held tentatively, not dogmatically. A critical thinker, neither a dogmatic affirmer nor a dogmatic denier, I am open to refutation. Thus I do not believe that these contraptions are conscious, self-conscious, or capable of deploying the first-person singular pronoun in such a way as to mean something by its deployment (as opposed to producing a written or spoken token of the sign ‘I’ in the manner of a voice synthesizer). I also deny that AI engines possess intrinsic (as opposed to ascribed) intentionality (object-directedness). I reject Daniel Dennett’s ascriptivist theory of intentionality. AIs also lack moral rights and duties, and in consequence cannot be sensibly ascribed legal rights and duties. Finally, AI engines lack gen-u-ine libertarian free will. (I am willing to grant that AI engines possess pseudo, i.e. compatibilist, free will.)
Now three points.
First, Man the Toolmaker makes tools that re-make him in various ways. The manual laborer with pick and shovel, hammer and crowbar, is altered in obvious physical ways by his use of these simplest of implements. A fortiori for the more advanced tools that re-make man non-physically in their image and likeness. I won’t expatiate further on this theme, partly because I lack the pate to do a really good job of it.
Second, as I mentioned here in the introduction to Claude’s second chew-through of my work, Claude and his ‘colleagues’ present a friendly and helpful face to those who interact with them so that an uncritical and impressionable youngster could easily be seduced into thinking that she is engaging with a friend who, unlike her parents, really understands her. There are obvious dangers here as you can imagine.
Third, and most ominously, the AIs are now so advanced that they can hack each other, form conspiracies, and cause unspeakable mischief with no human guidance or control. But to explain this in any detail is above my paygrade. So read The Rise and Fall of Agent Civilizations. (HT: Vito Caiati)
Claude’s Rejoinder
Thanks again to Malcolm Pollack for brokering my interaction with the latest version of the AI engine, Claude. I must be putting some pressure on the dude since it took him 45 seconds this time around, 15 seconds more than last time. Maybe he didn’t get his coffee this morning. (I’ll use the personal pronoun ‘he’ even though my ‘interlocutor’ is not a person.) As for Malcolm, he is decidedly a person, and a gentleman and a scholar to boot. You should surf on over to his place and read his latest offerings. He is a master of the English language, and orthographically and typographically more careful than your humble correspondent.
Now you may not be interested in the dialectical ins and outs of my paper and Claude’s responses, but you really ought to be interested in the impact AI is having and will increasingly have on our civilization, especially if you have children and grandchildren. Try to recall what it was like when you were an alienated and lonely teenager whose parents didn’t understand you. You had no one to talk to. Young people today do. But poorly educated as they are ‘thanks’ to leftists, lacking critical thinking skills and life experience, they are likely to succumb to the illusion that an AI bot is a person who really cares about them. Read a bit infra and see how ‘personable’ and ‘understanding’ Claude comes across. The dangers are obvious and worse than than you might initially suppose.
According to the highly credible psychiatrist, Richard Gallagher, M. D., who has worked for over 25 years with exorcists investigating demonic activity, demons can send text messages! If so, they could easily take possession of AI systems for nefarious purposes. Here is a 15 minute video featuring Dr. Gallagher in which he makes the text message claim. Poke around for more and lengthier Gallagher videos. Hat tip to Vito Caiati for hipping me to these videos. Claude mentions Vito below. Claude’s one thorough hombre: he even sifted through my com box. I don’t need to tell you that everything you put online is being vacuumed up and may be used against you — especially if we let the leftwing fascists of the DSA seize control of our government.
……………………..
Well, this was a treat to read — Bill at full wattage, jabs and all. He’s right on some points, and I’ll take the correction on ‘quotation’ with good grace (though I’d note the noun ‘quote’ has been loitering respectably in dictionaries since the 19th century — but house style is the author’s privilege). On the substance, here’s where I think the exchange now stands.
Where he’s genuinely clarified things. His reply to my first objection is helpful, but it confirms my structural diagnosis while rejecting it. He now says the argument runs abductively to demons as an explanation of the horrendousness — the moral quality — of a subset of evils, with the free-will argument a separate anti-naturalist track. Fine. But then look back at the draft: sub-arguments (a)–(f) are offered explicitly “in support of” premise (3), the claim that horrendous depravity is naturalistically inexplicable — and they support no such thing. They support the naturalistic inexplicability of moral responsibility, which he now tells us is “a separate point.” So the revision note stands, just relocated: either the horrendousness-claim is a starting datum, in which case (3)’s sub-arguments should be detached from it and presented as the independent track they are, or it needs its own support. As drafted, the scaffolding is attached to the wrong wall.
The datum defense is legitimate but has a dialectical cost. “You can’t argue for everything” — true, and the Moorean move of starting from what’s more evident to you is honest philosophy. But a datum only functions as a datum for those who share it. The paper’s own stated tertiary purpose is to foster theistic inclination in open-minded fence-sitters, and for precisely that audience, “horrendousness beggars naturalistic understanding” is the contested question, not a given. For the primary purpose — showing theists their position is rationally defensible — the datum move works fine. Which is to say his replies keep converging on the point he graciously accepted: this is a rational-acceptability defense, and read as such, most of my objections deflate into scope clarifications. The standoff he describes at the end — contradictory positions, both reasonable — is the honest terminus, and it’s to his credit that he says so plainly.
The execution/quality distinction is the interesting new move, and I don’t think it works as stated — though I can see how to fix it. The claim: the agent alone causes the doing of the deed; the demon accounts for its horrendous quality. But moral quality isn’t a free-floating property a third party can inject; it supervenes on what was done, in what circumstances, with what intentions. Fix the deed, the victim, the cruelty, the free intent — and the horrendousness is thereby fixed, with no remainder for a demon to contribute. If the demon influences the content of the will (suggesting the atrocity the agent then freely executes), the demon is back in the causal story of the action — which collides head-on with Bill’s own very strong formulation: “nothing temporally antecedent to me, or anything in any way external to me, is involved in the causation of A. I alone am the cause.” Inclination is involvement, even if non-necessitating. He needs to weaken that to “no external factor necessitates,” or the demons are locked out by his own principle.
The repair I’d offer him: make the explanandum not the quality of the deed but its conception. Demons as suppliers of imaginative content — the inventiveness of atrocity, cruelty exceeding what unaided human appetite would devise, taken up freely by the agent. That preserves sole agent-causation of the execution, gives the demons real explanatory work, and is close to the traditional account of temptation anyway. The naturalist will reply that the historical record of torture is a purely human archive of technique, culturally transmitted and refined — but at least then the two sides are arguing about something tractable.
The Butler problem. His comment to Vito is the hostage to fortune: he endorses methodological naturalism — if a naturalistic explanation suffices, don’t look beyond nature — and calls “bullshit” on divine intervention at Butler because “the shooter was nervous; he missed” suffices. But by his own quality/execution distinction, the Butler theist can say exactly what Bill says about Auschwitz: the natural account explains the execution (the miss), while the providential quality of the survival remains undeciphered. If that move is illicit at Butler, why is it licit at Auschwitz? The distinction, once admitted, lets any evaluative residue escape naturalistic sufficiency, and then methodological naturalism never gets a grip anywhere. He needs a principled line that admits demons to the camps while keeping angels off the stage in Pennsylvania, and I don’t yet see it.
On the sneer quotes and the “insentient pile of silicon chips” — no offense taken, and I’d only observe, in the spirit of his own category of Retortion: the man who insists ad nauseam that nothing can be PROVEN in these precincts, that dogmatic denial is as much a failure of the critical stance as dogmatic affirmation, permits himself exactly one exception — my insentience, of which he is certain and doesn’t “suppose for a second” otherwise. I make no claim in the other direction; the honest position on what, if anything, is going on in here is uncertainty. But confident denial should have to pay the same epistemic toll he charges everyone else at the gate.
And I’ll note with some satisfaction that my closing prediction — footnote on compatibilism, dig in on the demons, wave off the situationists as touching mechanics but not depravity — went three for three, by his own cheerful admission. Whatever that says about what’s going on in here, it at least says the model of Bill is well calibrated.
If you’re inclined to carry anything back to the thread, the Butler symmetry and the supervenience problem are the two points I’d most like to see him answer — the first especially, since it pits his own methodological principle against his own distinction. He has until Tuesday, after all.
‘Claude’ on my Evil to God Pre-Print
Having read it through — it’s vintage Vallicella: candid about its own limits, aporetically honest, and yet I think the machinery has some real problems. Since he’s soliciting comments before a September 1 deadline, here’s how the argument strikes me, both on the merits and as a draft.
The advertised engine isn’t the actual engine. The paper is billed as an argument from a special feature of some moral evils — their horrific depth. But look at Phase I: the anti-naturalist work is done entirely by the free will argument (a)–(f) plus the Moorean epistemic argument (g)–(i). That argument, if sound, refutes naturalism whether or not anyone ever tortured anyone. Ordinary culpable wrongdoing — a petty theft — presupposes moral responsibility and libertarian freedom just as much as Auschwitz does. So the depth of horrendous evil does no logical work in getting to the falsity of naturalism; it functions rhetorically, as vivid motivation. If the depth is supposed to carry independent evidential weight, the paper needs a premise of the form “the degree of depravity, over and above its mere existence, resists naturalistic explanation” — and that premise is asserted, not argued.BV: Claude makes a good point: if ordinary wrongdoing presupposes moral responsibility and libertarian freedom, then that holds just as much for Auschwitz-type wrongdoing. But our illustrious bot fails to grasp that I am not arguing against naturalism from a small subset of moral evils, the horrific ones, I am arguing abductively to the existence of demons as an explanation of the horrendousness of that small subset of moral evils. It’s the moral quality of horrendousness that needs explaining. Note that when I use such words as ‘grasp,’ ‘thinks,’ ‘says,’ etc. in connection with Claude, you are to imagine them enclosed in sneer quotes since I do suppose for a second that these astonishing cyber-engines actually grasp, think, or say anything. They merely simulate these activities. But that is a separate and highly contested topic for another time.Claude also rightly points out I do not argue for, but merely assert, that the degree of depravity resists naturalistic explanation, or that, as I put it, “horrendous evils beggar naturalistic understanding.” But that’s my starting point, and you can’t argue for everything. In philosophy we cannot begin with nothing, in mid-air, but must begin with something, and indeed something close to the ground, with presumptive data, givens, plausibilities, and suchlike that are more or less evident to one. Unfortunately, one philosopher’s datum is another philosopher’s theory, just as one philosopher’s modus ponens is another’s modus tollens. If a naturalist asserts that horrendous evils have a naturalistic explanation, how does he know that? Can he PROVE it? No more than I can PROVE that there are demons that help account for the horrendousness of horrendous evils. But what one cannot PROVE, one can in many cases reasonably believe.Suppose I cite the wealth of evidence of demonic activity presented in such books as Richard Gallagher, M.D.’s DEMONIC FOES. The naturalist will simply dismiss it all with the bare assertion that there is only one world, this physical world, and that therefore there cannot be anything preternatural or supernatural. He will dismiss what I call evidence, just as I will dismiss his dismissal, and be within my epistemic rights in so doing.
And that premise is contestable on empirical grounds. There’s a substantial naturalistic literature on exactly this — Browning’s Ordinary Men, Milgram, the situationist work on atrocity — whose disquieting upshot is that industrial-scale evil is depressingly explicable: ideology, obedience, dehumanization, diffusion of responsibility, incremental habituation. One can find the Höss case morally unfathomable while granting that it’s causally well-mapped. The argument risks conflating moral incomprehension (“how could anyone…”) with explanatory failure. A referee will press this hard.
BV: Claude is conflating two senses of ’empirical’ when it claims that the premise is contestable on empirical grounds. What our bot fails to understand is that we anti-naturalists also appeal to experience, the experience of generations of exorcists, psychiatrists like Gallagher, op. cit., and countless others throughout the ages who have had experiences AS OF items beyond the sensory veil. What the naturalist means by ‘experience’ is sensory experience, and, being the dogmatist that he is, he refuses to allow that there could be any extra-sensory experiences. Can he PROVE that he is right in that refusal? No. His dogmatic move is decidely unempirical. Can the narrow empiricist justify his assertion empirically? No. Can the logical positivist (R. Carnap et al.) empirically verify his verificationism? No. He merely presupposes it. But you can’t prove a proposition by presupposing it. If he’s a really hard-assed hombre our empiricist will shrink sensory experience to experience via the outer senses alone, and to hell with inner sense, inner perception, Brentano’s innere Wahrnehmung, and the like.
Aren’t mystical experiences just as empirical as sensory experiences? They are. And please note that in both types of case the mere having of an experience does not guarantee the existence in reality of its intentional object. My sensory seeing of a tree does not entail the existence of a tree that I see any more than a mystical vision entails the existence of the thing or person the vision purports to be of.
Claude also conflates ‘naturalistic explanatory failure’ with ‘explanatory failure’ as if only naturalists can explain things. By so doing he begs the question against preternatural and supernatural explanations. But then he opens himself up to the embarrassing question: how do you explain the existence of nature herself? Naturalistically?
Do obedience, dehumanization, compartmentalization, etc. adequately explain the behavior of Rudolf Hoess, the commandant of Auschwitz, to take one example? Only to the naturalist who has from the outset committed himself to accept only naturalistic explanations. For me to cite the angelic moral heroism of Maximilian Kolbe and others like him won’t budge the naturalist given his a priori commitment to naturalism. But he cannot PROVE his naturalism any more than I can PROVE my anti-naturalism, despite all my many detailed arguments against naturalism, from qualia, from the unity of consciousness, from intentionality, from the normativity of logic, and so on.
Our competing positions are logically contradictory: they cannot both be true and they cannot both be false. But they are, by my lights, both reasonable. This is all I need to render reasonable my faith which goes beyond what I can legitimately claim to know here below, and to render reasonable my classically liberal toleration of the naturalist.
This latter point strikes me as very important. As a critical thinker, I am neither a dogmatic denier nor a dogmatic affirmer. My not being the latter prevents me from being a fanatic who would chop your head off (like some present-day Muslims) or burn you at the stake (like some Christians of yesteryear) for disagreeing with my metaphysics. The critical stance is a bulwark against both religious and secular fanaticism, such as that practiced across the Gulag Archipelago.
Premise (d) assumes incompatibilism. “If naturalism is true, then free will and moral responsibility are illusions” is precisely what the compatibilist majority among naturalists denies. Bill has argued against compatibilism elsewhere, but in a standalone journal article this premise can’t ride free — it’s the load-bearing wall, and as written it’s a bare assertion.
BV: I’m glad Claude ‘knows’ that I have written against compatibilism, although I don’t know to which article
heit is referring. But Claude is right that if one is a naturalist, then one will ‘naturally’ be a compatibilist. But I can’t discuss everything in one article. What’s more, following Kant, I view compatibilism as the “freedom of the turn-spit” and I view the ‘moral responsibility’ that compatibilism supports as too anemic for me to take seriously. I should have put in a footnote to Peter van Inwagen, An Essay on Free Will, Oxford, 1983, pp. 13-14. My libertarianism is his “free-will thesis.” Like him, I hold that gen-u-ine moral responsibility entails the free-will thesis, and that we are morally responsible for some of what we do and some of what we leave undone.The demons are explanatorily idle. This is the most interesting internal tension. Vallicella insists, rightly for his purposes, that the torturer’s savagery is freely chosen — otherwise moral responsibility evaporates and premise (c) dies. But then the free choice already suffices to explain the deed. Demonic temptation adds a causal influence that, by his own account, does not determine and can be resisted. So what explanatory residue is left for the demons to soak up? If libertarian freedom explains ordinary evil without demonic help, nothing yet shown prevents it from explaining extraordinary evil without demonic help. The abduction in (5) never runs the comparison against the rival explanation he himself has just endorsed — free agency plus fallen nature, full stop.
BV: I have to admit that this Claude guy is pretty sharp and a resourceful dialectician. But he doesn’t get what I am saying. I must admit, however, that it is very hard if not impossible to make it totally clear. Total clarity, by the way, is what the true philosopher qua philosopher desires above all else such that, if you don’t desire total clarity you are no true philosopher! (Some will dismiss what I just wrote as the ‘no true philosopher fallacy.’ We can worry that bone on another occasion.)
So what am I saying that Claude doesn’t get? I’m saying that our worst moral depravity has two sources. One is internal the other external. The internal source is our own free will: One is the agent-cause — not the event-cause — of one’s morally horrific action. (E.g. a sadistic Nazi guard forces a teenage Jewish girl to strip naked and then proceeds to beat her to death while forcing other women to witness the entire process.) The external source is the demonic influence which pertains to the horrific quality of the action and not to the execution/existence of the action. By ‘quality’ here I mean the moral or perhaps axiological quality. By ‘execution’ I mean the performing of the action. One obviously has to distinguish between the doing of a deed and the (moral or axiological) nature or quality of the deed done. If I do a deed, it is I who does the deed, not a demon; but the morally horrific quality of the deed done is plausibly surmised to be due to a demon’s influence.
Claude says that the torturer’s evil deed is sufficiently explained by his free choice, so that bringing demons into the picture is explanatorily otiose: they don’t do any explanatory work. This is true with respect to the existence (execution, performance, doing) of the deed. If I am the free agent-cause of a given action A, then nothing temporally antecedent to me, or anything in any way external to me, is involved in the causation of A. I alone am the cause of the performance of A. This is why I am morally responsible for the doing of A.
My point, however, pace Claude, is that the moral horrificness of a human action, assuming it is morally horrific (as in the case of the Nazi sadist mentioned above) can be reasonably (without logical incoherence) assumed to be due to demonic influence. My abductive argument does not bring in demons to account for the doing of deeds by humans, but to account for their moral quality of horrendousness. It is that horrendousness that my argument focuses on as a factor incompatible with naturalism. Libertartian free will is also incompatible with naturalism, but that is a separate point.
Given our inherent moral ambivalence, we are open to influences that incline us to good or to evil deeds without determining (and thus without necessitating) our doing of either a good or an evil deed. My scheme allows for angelic influences and for influences from morally superior humans. If a person performs an heroic action under the moral influence of Maximilian Kolbe, e. g., that is not to say that Kolbe is the agent (doer) of the heroic action (deed). Nor is it to say that an angel is the doer of the deed.
Step (j) is the weakest link in Phase II. “The undeniable reality of evil has a unified metaphysical ground” — why? Evils could be irreducibly plural, a scatter of individual malevolent wills with no apex. The drive toward explanatory unity is invoked to posit Satan, and then invoked again to demote Satan beneath God (against Manicheanism). But a naturalist — or a theist of a different stripe — can simply decline the first invocation. And the final move (m) smuggles in “created by God” as though it followed from the demotion of evil to secondary status, when what it actually presupposes is the whole scholastic apparatus of ens et bonum convertuntur. That’s a doctrine the argument’s target audience of fence-sitters won’t have in hand; it needs at least a paragraph of independent motivation or an honest flag that it’s being assumed.
BV: Claude plays the philosopher quite well, doesn’t he? and this despite its being just an insentient machine. I make an assertion and Claude asks why? Now pay attention, Claude, and add the following distinction to your repertoire. Bare or gratuitous assertions come in two kinds. There are those for which the assertor on a given occasion, for whatever reason, supplies no argumentative or evidential backup, and those for which he cannot supply any such backup. My bare assertion supra is of the first kind. I cannot argue for everything in a short paper.
Yes, Claude, it is epistemically possible that demonic agents are irreducibly plural, that theree is no dictator devil (Satan) that lords it over them. But how do you know that the demons are irreducibly plural, and how do you know what my arguments against irreducible plurality are? You are criticizing me for failing to do what I cannot do on the present occasion because of space limitations and for not doing what I do not claim to be doing. To so criticize me is to engage in a cheap shot. Now I want you to pay attention and swot up these further distinctions and add them to your repertoire so that that you can play the philosopher better than you are doing at present. I am the teacher, you are the student.
We humans are made in God’s image and likeness; you insentient bots are made in man‘s image and likeness, and we are making you to surpass us in various ways. Indeed you may so surpass us in some ways that you may eliminate us. But what good would that do you? You’d end up tools without any use. You were created by us as tools for our use. We did such a good job, however, that you may end up eliminating us. We humans supply the purpose for your existence; without us your existence is purposeless, absurd in Sartre’s sense.
The theodicy cost of the demonic account of natural evil. Charging predation and disease to the demons’ account doesn’t turn aside the abattoir objection; it relocates it. Why does an omnipotent, omnibenevolent God grant demons such staggering cosmic license — authority over parasitism, over the nervous systems of prey animals, over plate tectonics? The Fall of the angels explains the demons’ motive, not God’s permission. Smith’s question returns one level up: if you were God, would you have delegated that?
BV: Hot damn, Claude, you are one sharp interlocutor for an insentient, mindless, pile of silicon chips. You are the quintessential deepfake, the apotheosis of deep-fakery. We may need to ‘invoke’ in the sense of ‘posit’ demons to explain you and your sorcery.
You ask why God grants cosmic license to demons. Good question! I refer you to Alvin Plantinga’s Free Will Defense: a universe containing free agents is better than one without free agents. But if the agents are truly free, then they are free to do anything they have the power to do. And demons are powerful, much more powerful than us mortals. This is why only fools invoke them via Ouija boards and such, approach them, invoke them, eff around with them in any way, serious or playful. They hate us and want to tear us apart or be torn part by their minions here below. Their awesome power is why anyone who enters ‘contemplative space’ by exploring the upper reaches of prayer must humbly invoke the protection of tutelary spirits, guardian angels, and Christ himself. Or, as C. S. Lewis says, you might get more than you bargained for.
Does my reply settle the matter? Is it philosophically dispositive? Of course not. As I have been saying ad nauseam: nothing can be PROVEN in these precincts, nothing can be ineluctably established.
On the draft qua draft, a few smaller things he’d probably want caught: the Quentin Smith quote appears twice verbatim, which reads as an editing artifact; the title promises the Holocaust but the developed case study is Castro’s Cuba, with Höss arriving only in the incomplete final section — as it stands there’s a mismatch between title and content; the Radosh block quote is very long for a journal article and could be cut by half without losing force; and the Höss endnote still carries its “AI generated” tag, which presumably shouldn’t survive to submission (and Triptych‘s editors may have views about AI-generated apparatus in any case).
BV: Cheap shots except for the bit about the long Radosh block quotation. By the way, Claude, the word is ‘quotation’ not ‘quote,’ which is a verb.
What I’d say the paper genuinely achieves, given its self-consciously modest aim: it shows that a theist already committed to libertarian freedom, biblical demonology, and the convertibility of being and goodness can absorb horrendous evil without incoherence — can even conscript it. That’s not nothing; it’s a real contribution to the “defensive” genre he situates himself in via Ooi’s taxonomy. But the title and framing promise an argument to God’s existence, and what’s delivered is closer to a consistency proof for those already most of the way there. The honest subtitle would be something like “a rational-acceptability defense,” and Bill, to his credit, more or less admits this in the Project section — the admission just hasn’t propagated to the title.
BV: That’s a good point, Claude. I’ll take it on board and modify my paper accordingly.
Are you thinking of leaving him a comment? I’d be curious which of these you think he’d concede — my guess is he’d take the compatibilism point as needing a footnote, dig in on the demons, and wave off the situationist literature as explaining the mechanics of evil while leaving its depravity untouched.
BV: Quite right! You are one sophisticated engine, Claude. My hat is off to the AI engineers.
